Practise What You Preach

February 4th, 2009

Preaching betting discipline is easy, but actually following through and applying it yourself is not so easy.

I have a profitable racing strategy, but somehow I have managed to do serious damage to my bank by not being disciplined.

But I must confess, as good as I believe my strategy is, it’s slow earner, meaning greed can easily get the better of you, by either over staking, or looking elsewhere for the quiet days where there are no bets.

Hopefully I have learnt my lesson and will be far more disciplined from now on.

A Gem in the Making … NOT!!!!

January 29th, 2008

I had commended 4wdl as a gem in the making, but now I have to retract that statement.

Nothing is more important then trust especially on the web, where you do not know who you are dealing with, and 4wdl has lost my trust.

For their selections of 30 January 2008, they are showing a loss of only 0.52 units, and a strike rate of 50%. This is very far from the truth as they have changed their selections. Firstly they have left out two games which they got wrong (Ajax vs. PSV & Hereford vs. Brentford) . They predicted home wins and both results went against them with away team wins. To make matters worse they went and added to predictions which they did not have before; the Belgian Cup win of Kortrijk over Gent @3.3 & the Italian Cup win of Catania over Udinese @2.17. This doctoring of selections after the fact makes you wonder about all their previous results.

I am sad to say, but 4wdl cannot be trusted.

Discipline

January 27th, 2008

If I am to get anywhere with my investment betting project discipline is will be key.


Having been fairly discipline so far the key will be focus. Things are going good at the moment, the bank is going up at a steady rate, and there have been no major losses. I have managed to stick to betting on only league soccer games for the most part and small dabbles on the Africa Nations Cup, where I felt more then confident on the results.


I have to be honest with myself and confess that I feel I am not taking enough bets. This means my bank is growing at a fairly small rate, if I were to suffer a decent loss it would take weeks to recover and that is where discipline is going to come in big time.


When things are going good and its smooth sailing, it’s very easy to stick to the plan. When you hit losses you start to question yourself, question your systems and sometimes try different and unnecessary bets and systems.

Hopefully this little documented note to myself will help me through the tough times, because just like any investment there will be downs.

Investment Betting: Fact or Fiction

January 20th, 2008

I am sure a lot of people will say fiction, purely for the reason that it has not been proven successful. It’s going to take me at least five years to prove it either way as well.

I am in this for the long run. Payday is around the corner and I will have to be tweaking my budget so as to put in another $100.

 

The weekend has been good to me and the results have been positive on my bank balance. I had told my self I would only be focusing on Soccer, but on Friday there was an opportunity I could not pass up in the Cricket match between Australia and India. Batting last Australia were set a target of more then 400 to win the match. There was more then enough time for the result (more then 2 days); the weather forecast was good for the next couple of days, so a result was virtually guaranteed. Logging in to Betfair I found the odds too good to pass up, India were 6/10 (1.6) favorites with a win in my opinion virtually guaranteed. People were blinded the 16 win streak Australia had achieved and were blinded to the fact that chasing down more then 400, batting last, is not an everyday occurrence, and definitely the price for India and Australia (16/10 or 2.6) was definitely unrealistic. Without hesitation I invested in an India win and was rewarded nicely. This was an excellent investment chance, fairly low on the risk side and with a decent reward.

 

What people need to remember here is that not all investments will return a positive outcome. People do buy stocks and they go down, and you just have to stomach it as a loss and just like in the betting you will lose some, but as long as you focus on the long run and come out on top.

Let’s Begin

January 15th, 2008

Starting with a measly $100 bank and adding $100 every month, plus compounding our bank at 25% with our Investment Betting strategies, we’ll be looking at an $11 000 or more in about 5 years .. whoopie.

Clearly I won’t be getting rich quick, but I won’t be losing money either.

Below is a basic graph of the projected bank growth.

ImageCraz.com

Once a month or so I will try and publish how I am faring so far.

Good Luck to me.